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With the gold bull market charging firmly ahead perhaps it is time to reflect
upon what is actually happening from the perspective of the junior mining sector.
The first chart below is of the TSX Venture Index showing a great uptrend
and looking very strong. The second chart shows us the TSX Venture Index relative
to Gold. Wow, what a difference.
In effect, the TSX Venture Index is actually putting in a miserable performance
relative to the price of gold.
We are firm believers this trend will soon change and the TSX Venture Index
will be leading the way higher with gold lagging.
The catalyst for this trend change is beyond our scope but we are confident
it will happen and probably when we least expect it.

Investors new to precious metals as well as the more seasoned investors and
professionals will be looking for ways to maximize their gains as the junior
sector catches on fire and enters a mania phase before capitulating in a few
years.
In addition to buying the common shares of your favor juniors, several other
investment vehicles are available to investors which offer the opportunity
to increase your leverage. Leverage in this sense is not a dirty word and should
be considered by investors as an essential addition to your portfolio.
The Dirty Little Secret Boils Down To Time
A few favorites of investors are options, LEAPS, and warrants. All of these
investment vehicles have appeal to investors and are very similar, except for
issue of time. Options, will normally have anywhere from 30 days to 180 days
of life, LEAPS can at times have 1 or 2 years of life and warrants can have
a life of 5 years or more.
As we all know from the experience of last September - October, a meltdown
in the markets can be disastrous to our portfolios. Holder of call options
no doubt lost their entire investment, while many holders of LEAPS and warrants
weathered this storm and their positions in some cases are now in the money.
You maybe familiar with options but perhaps not with LEAPS or warrants, so
allow us a few minutes to brief you.
Options:
A call option is a contract that gives its owner the right, but not the obligation,
to buy a specified number of shares at a predetermined price within a set
period of time. Most call options have a life of 30, 60, 90 or 180 days.
Call options place you in the position of being a trader looking for short
term gains with high risk associated therewith. Investors have to be correct
on the direction of the markets, your individual stock choice as well as
the timing of your entry and exit strategy. This is not so easy to do for
the average investor. Also, there are very few call options on stocks of
mining companies and we are in a world where investors demand more and more
choices.
There has been an incredible amount of information, education and marketing
to get the investors attention for options in recent years. For those professionals
who can manage risk and have a short term horizon this can be profitable and
exciting. However, the industry statistics are that most investors, 80%-90%
will lose their investment dollars.
LEAPS:
A leap which stands for Long Term Equity Anticipation Securities is also an
option as defined above but these have a longer life of perhaps up to 2 years.
Leaps will give you much more time but unfortunately there are very few leaps
on the mining stocks.
Options and leaps are actually created or written by investors who write an
option and keep the premium (the amount you paid) as income. The underlying
company receives nothing.
Warrants:
A warrant is a security giving the holder the right, but not the obligation
to acquire the underlying security at a predetermined price and for a specified
time. Sounds a lot like call options and leaps, right? Well, yes and no.
Warrants are actually issued by the underlying company, normally in connection
with a financing arrangement and are sometimes called a "kicker" or "equity
kicker". Most warrants will never trade but are held by mutual funds or other
private investors whom have provided the financing.
There are however, many warrants that do trade freely on either the U.S. Exchanges
or the Canadian Exchanges. These warrants trade similar to their underlying
stocks and will fluctuate up and down with the price of the stocks and can
be purchased through your brokerage firm.
Warrants have a longer life than call options and most LEAPS which is why
our subscribers are partial to them. Warrants are usually issued by the company
for at least 2 years and sometimes up to 5 years. If an investor is more conservative
and investment oriented as opposed to speculating, then warrants may make more
sense. Timing seems to always be the issue doesn't it?
History: Warrants actually originated back in the 1920's according
to some of my sources and in the 1950's thru the 1970's, there was a service
by Sidney Fried, The RHM Warrant Survey. The service was only available in
hard copy and was one of the few sources of information on warrants.
In "The Speculative Merits of Common Stock Warrants", by Sidney Fried and
written in 1949, he states:
"...Common stock warrants turn in the most spectacular performance of any
group of securities....the speculative potentialities of common stock warrants
are enormous....With potential profits and potential losses so great it is
a source of wonder that so little understanding of the nature of common stock
warrants exists not only among the investing 'public', who might be forgiven
this sin, but even among the many 'professionals' of the business upon whom
the 'public' depends for information and guidance."
Sidney Fried's observation in 1949 is the same as today, in that, most investors
and analysts do not take the time to understand the potential leverage which
warrants can bring to your portfolio. For those readers interested in knowing
more of the benefits of purchasing warrants we invite you to visit our website.
Whether your investment choice is either of the above, it is all about increasing
your leverage. In layman's language this means generating a greater gain than
the anticipated gain on the common shares.
If you would like to know more about warrants, we encourage you to visit our website for
an in-depth discussion of warrants, many examples, how to trade warrants and
much more.
For those readers unfamiliar with our services:
- PreciousMetalsWarrants.com provides
an online database for all warrants trading on the natural resource companies
in the United States and Canada.
- InsidersInsights.com tracks
the buying and selling of corporate insiders with a focus on the junior mining
and natural resource sectors. Buy and Sell Alerts are issued as deemed relevant
based upon our analysis.
We encourage all readers to sign up for our free
weekly email.
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